Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.533334 1.740370 1.967259 2.234714 2.541828 2.883984 3.294815
2025-11-30 1.273440 1.557193 1.893941 2.324549 2.862704 3.515846 4.372851
2025-12-07 1.074825 1.396345 1.803570 2.360520 3.107596 4.082290 5.462092
2025-12-14 0.908616 1.241361 1.686347 2.330458 3.248070 4.521998 6.448366
2025-12-21 0.770416 1.098524 1.558120 2.256622 3.305005 4.841639 7.304415
2025-12-28 0.709556 1.052502 1.553973 2.351626 3.609020 5.549228 8.836581
2026-01-04 0.654737 1.006191 1.540355 2.425780 3.885366 6.246361 10.457835
2026-01-11 0.603885 0.958298 1.516211 2.476539 4.126061 6.913379 12.129669
2026-01-18 0.556986 0.910211 1.484473 2.507949 4.334336 7.548912 13.842369
2026-01-25 0.502990 0.843793 1.414073 2.462766 4.399829 7.937842 15.156278
2026-02-01 0.445454 0.764886 1.313318 2.350492 4.326636 8.058867 15.964587
2026-02-08 0.406149 0.713473 1.254586 2.306546 4.373302 8.408641 17.282865
2026-02-15 0.369666 0.664732 1.197887 2.264304 4.427128 8.798761 18.797305
2026-02-22 0.355877 0.656223 1.214283 2.365473 4.782398 9.856114 21.972587
2026-03-01 0.335759 0.633600 1.201432 2.406706 5.019921 10.703312 24.838616
2026-03-08 0.309837 0.597002 1.157366 2.378027 5.103393 11.226003 27.034702
2026-03-15 0.281950 0.553677 1.095288 2.303437 5.074586 11.489156 28.637412
2026-03-22 0.273696 0.549177 1.111697 2.400979 5.451119 12.759162 33.098765
2026-03-29 0.263918 0.540457 1.118209 2.477004 5.787982 13.987841 37.714193
2026-04-05 0.252767 0.527666 1.114546 2.529007 6.073987 15.135716 42.355307
2026-04-12 0.240894 0.512114 1.103140 2.561175 6.314969 16.206466 47.010796
2026-04-19 0.224194 0.484305 1.061471 2.514974 6.347515 16.723727 50.099846
2026-04-26 0.204203 0.447292 0.995231 2.400142 6.182681 16.669668 51.377350